Converging Technologies
for Improving Human Performance
NANOTECHNOLOGY, BIOTECHNOLOGY, INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND COGNITIVE
SCIENCE
Edited by Mihail C. Roco and William Sims Bainbridge
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In the early decades of the twenty-first century,
concentrated efforts can unify science based on the unity of nature,
thereby advancing
the combination of nanotechnology, biotechnology, information technology,
and new technologies based in cognitive science. With proper attention
to ethical issues and societal needs, converging technologies could
achieve a tremendous improvement in human abilities, societal outcomes,
the nation’s productivity, and the quality of life. This
is a broad, cross-cutting, emerging and timely opportunity of interest
to
individuals, society and humanity in the long term.
The phrase “convergent technologies” refers to the synergistic
combination of four major “NBIC” (nano-bio-info-cogno)
provinces of science and technology, each of which is currently
progressing at a rapid rate: (a) nanoscience and nanotechnology;
(b) biotechnology
and biomedicine, including genetic engineering; (c) information
technology, including advanced computing and communications; (d)
cognitive science,
including cognitive neuroscience.
Timely and Broad Opportunity. Convergence of diverse technologies
is based on material unity at the nanoscale and on technology integration
from that scale. The building blocks of matter that are fundamental
to all sciences originate at the nanoscale. Revolutionary advances
at the interfaces between previously separate fields of science and
technology are ready to create key transforming tools for NBIC technologies.
Developments in systems approaches, mathematics and computation in
conjunction with NBIC allow us for the first time to understand the
natural world, human society, and scientific research as closely coupled
complex, hierarchical systems. At this moment in the evolution of technical
achievement, improvement of human performance through integration of
technologies becomes possible.
Examples of payoffs may include improving work
efficiency and learning, enhancing individual sensory and cognitive
capabilities, revolutionary
changes in healthcare, improving both individual and group creativity,
highly effective communication techniques including brain-to-brain
interaction, perfecting human-machine interfaces including neuromorphic
engineering, sustainable and “intelligent” environments
including neuro-ergonomics, enhancing human capabilities for defense
purposes, reaching sustainable development using NBIC tools, and
ameliorating the physical and cognitive decline that is common
to the aging mind.
The workshop participants envision important
breakthroughs in NBIC-related areas in the next 10-20 years. Fundamental
research requires about
the same interval to yield significant applications. Now is the
time to anticipate the research issues and plan an R&D approach
that would yield optimal results.
This report addresses key issues: What are the implications of unifying
sciences and converging technologies? How will scientific knowledge
and current technologies evolve and what emerging developments are
envisioned? What visionary ideas can guide research to accomplish broad
benefits for humanity? What are the most pressing research and education
issues? How can we develop a transforming national strategy to enhance
individual capabilities and overall societal outcomes? What should
be done to achieve the best results over the next 10 to 20 years?
This report underlines several broad, long-term
implications of converging technologies in key areas of human activity,
including
working, learning,
aging, group interaction, and human evolution. If we make the correct
decisions and investments today, many of these visions could be
addressed within twenty years’ time. Moving forward simultaneously
along many of these paths could achieve an age of innovation and
prosperity
that would be a turning point in the evolution of human society.
The right of each individual to use new knowledge and technologies
in order
to achieve personal goals, as well as the right to privacy and
choice, are at the core of the envisioned developments.
This report is based on exploratory research already initiated in
representative research organizations and on the opinions of leading
scientists and engineers using research data.
Strategies for Transformation. It is essential to prepare key organizations
and societal activities for the changes made possible by converging
technologies. Activities that accelerate convergence to improve human
performance must be enhanced, including focused research and development,
increased technological synergy from the nanoscale, developing of interfaces
among sciences and technologies, and a holistic approach to monitor
the resultant societal evolution. The aim is to offer individuals and
groups an increased range of attractive choices while preserving fundamental
values such as privacy, safety, and moral responsibility. Education
and training at all levels should use converging science and technology
and prepare people to take advantage of them. We must experiment with
innovative ideas to motivate multidisciplinary research and development,
while finding ways to address ethical, legal, and moral concerns. In
many application areas, such as medical technology and healthcare,
it is necessary to accelerate advances that would take advantage of
converging technologies.
Towards Unifying Science and Converging Technologies. The evolution
of a hierarchical architecture for integrating natural and human sciences
across many scales, dimensions, and data modalities will be required.
Half a millennium ago, Renaissance leaders were masters of several
fields simultaneously. Today, however, specialization has splintered
the arts and engineering, and no one can master more than a tiny fragment
of human creativity. The sciences have reached a watershed at which
they must unify if they are to continue to advance rapidly. Convergence
of the sciences can initiate a new renaissance, embodying a holistic
view of technology based on transformative tools, the mathematics of
complex systems, and unified cause-and-effect understanding of the
physical world from the nanoscale to the planetary scale.
Major Themes. Scientific leaders and policy makers across a range
of fields prepared written statements for a December 2001 workshop,
evaluating the potential impact of NBIC technologies on improving human
capabilities at the microscopic, individual, group, and societal levels.
During the workshop, participants examined the vast potential in six
different areas of relevance:
· Overall potential of converging technologies.
Representatives of government agencies and the private sector set
forth the mission
to explore the potential of converging technologies and research
needs to improve human performance, as well as the overall potential
for
revolutionary changes in the economy and society. They identified
the synergistic development of nano-, bio-, information- and cognition-based
technologies as an outstanding opportunity at the interface and
frontier
of sciences and engineering in the following decades, and proposed
new visions of what is possible to achieve.
· Expanding human cognition and communication. Highest priority
was given to “The Human Cognome Project,” a multidisciplinary
effort to understand the structure, functions, and potential enhancement
of the human mind. Other priority areas are: personal sensory device
interfaces; enriched community through humanized technology; learning
how to learn; and enhanced tools for creativity.
· Improving human health and physical
capabilities. Six priority areas have been identified: nano-bio
processors for research and
development of treatments, including those resulting from bioinformatics,
genomics
and proteomics; nanotechnology-based implants and regenerative
biosystems as replacements for human organs or for monitoring of
physiological
well-being; nanoscale machines and comparable unobtrusive tools
for medical intervention; multi-modality platforms for increasing
sensorial
capabilities, particularly for visual and hearing impaired people;
brain-to-brain and brain-to-machine interfaces; and virtual environments
for training, design, and forms of work unlimited by distance or
the physical scale on which it is performed.
· Enhancing group and societal outcomes. An NBIC system called “The
Communicator” would remove barriers to communication caused
by physical disabilities, language differences, geographic distance,
and
variations in knowledge, thus greatly enhancing the effectiveness
of cooperation in schools, corporations, government agencies, and
across
the world. Other areas of focus are in enhancing group creativity
and productivity, cognitive engineering and developments related
to networked
society. A key priority will be revolutionary new products and
services based on the integration of the four technologies from
the nanoscale.
· National security. Given the radically
changing nature of conflict in this new century, seven opportunities
to strengthen
national
defense offered by technological convergence deserve high priority:
data linkage and threat anticipation; uninhabited combat vehicles;
war fighter education and training; responses to chemical, biological,
radiological and explosive threats; war fighter systems; non-drug
treatments to enhance human performance; and applications of human-machine
interfaces.
· Unifying science and education. To meet
the coming challenges, scientific education needs radical transformation
from elementary
school through post-graduate training. Convergence of previously
separate
scientific disciplines and fields of engineering cannot take place
without the emergence of new kinds of people who understand multiple
fields in depth and can intelligently work to integrate them. New
curricula, new concepts to provide intellectual coherence, and new
forms of educational
institutions will be necessary.
Beyond the 20-year time span, or outside the current boundaries of
high technology, convergence can have significant impacts in such areas
as: work efficiency, the human body and mind throughout the life cycle,
communication and education, mental health, aeronautics and space flight,
food and farming, sustainable and intelligent environments, self-presentation
and fashion, and transformation of civilization.
Synopsis of Recommendations
The recommendations of this report are far-reaching
and fundamental, urging the transformation of science, engineering
and technology
at their very roots. The new developments will be revolutionary and
must
be governed by respect for human welfare and dignity. This report
sets goals for societal transformation and educational. Building
on the
suggestions developed in the five topical groups, and the ideas
in the more than fifty individual contributions, the workshop recommended
a national R&D priority area on converging technologies focused
on enhancing human performance. The opportunity is broad, enduring,
and of general interest.
a) Individuals. Scientists and engineers at every career level should
gain skills in at least one NBIC area and in neighboring disciplines,
collaborate with colleagues in other fields, and take risks in launching
innovative projects that could advance NBIC.
b) Academe. Educational institutions at all levels should undertake
major curricular and organizational reforms to restructure the teaching
and research of science and engineering so that previously separate
disciplines can converge around common principles to train the technical
labor force for the future.
c) Private Sector. Manufacturing, biotechnology, information and medical
service corporations will need to develop partnerships of unparalleled
scope to exploit the tremendous opportunities from technological convergence,
investing in production facilities based on entirely new principles,
materials, devices and systems, with increased emphasis on human development.
d) Government. The Federal Government should establish a national
research and development priority area on converging technologies focused
on enhancing human performance. Government organizations at all levels
should provide leadership in creating the NBIC infrastructure and coordinating
the work of other institutions, and must accelerate convergence by
supporting new multidisciplinary scientific efforts while sustaining
the traditional disciplines that are essential for success. Ethical,
legal, moral economic, environmental, workforce development, and other
societal implications must be addressed from the beginning, involving
leading NBIC scientists and engineers, social scientists and a broad
coalition of professional and civic organizations. Research on societal
implications must be funded, and the risk of potential undesirable
secondary effect must be monitored by a government organization in
order to anticipate and take corrective actions. Tools should be developed
to anticipate scenarios for future technology development and applications.
e) Professional Societies. The scientific and engineering communities
should create new means of interdisciplinary training and communication,
reduce the barriers that inhibit individuals from working across disciplines,
aggressively highlight opportunities for convergence in their conferences,
develop links to a variety of other technical and medical organizations,
and address ethical issues related to technological developments.
f) Other Organizations. Non-governmental organizations that represent
potential user groups should contribute to the design and testing of
convergent technologies, in order to maximize the benefits for their
diverse constituencies. Private research foundations should invest
in NBIC research in those areas that are consistent with their unique
missions. The press should increase high-quality coverage of science
and technology, on the basis of the new convergent paradigm, to inform
citizens so they can participate wisely in debates about ethical issues
such as unexpected effects on inequality, policies concerning diversity,
and the implications of transforming human capabilities.
A vast opportunity is created by the convergence of sciences and technologies
starting with integration from the nanoscale, having immense individual,
societal and historical implications for human development. The participants
in the meetings that prepared this report recommend a national research
and development priority area on converging technologies focused on
enhancing human performance. This would be a suitable framework for
a long-term, coherent strategy in research and education. Science and
technology will increasingly dominate the world, as population, resource
exploitation, and potential social conflict grow. Therefore, the success
of this convergent technologies priority area is essential to the future
of humanity.
A full copy of this report can be found at href="http://wtec.org/ConvergingTechnologies/Report/NBIC_report.pdf